Friday, June 26, 2009
Tommi Kivisto, Red Deer
Strengths: Outstanding skater. Good skill level, and a hard shot. Was a fierce, hard-hitting player last season in Finland.
Weaknesses: The hockey sense here is seriously lacking. Never adjusted to the WHL this season and got worse as the season went.
Summary: Went from looking like a certain first-rounder, to continually sliding as the season went. Just never adjusted to the WHL. People who saw him last season are scratching they're heads. Where is the aggressive two-way guy from last season? Will draw a lot of late round interest because of the hope he rediscovers last season's form.
Adam Hughesman, Tri-City
Strengths: Good shooting touch.
Weaknesses: Skating is rough. Not sure there's a lot of hockey sense. One dimensional. Bad second half.
Summary: Is not really a 7 round interest for me. Skating seemed to regress a bit this year. He's got a nice shot, but just doesn't get himself into position to use it much.
Hayden Rintoul, Kootenay
Strengths: Some untapped offensive upside. Decent skater. Good improvement this season.
Weaknesses: Tweener size. Struggles against forechecking and the physical game.
Summary: Probable camp invite if he doesn't go. Worth watching next year as a possible 2nd year draft.
Giffen Nyren, Kamloops
Strengths: Lots of skill and puck rushing ability. Good skater. Thinks the game pretty well.
Weaknesses: Seems to be still learning his new position. Backward stride and pivots need to improve. Overall d-zone game isn't great.
Summary: I'd argue a bit to grab this guy with a late pick...or at least push for a camp invite. His transition to defence has been a pretty good one, so there's a chance he could improve his d-zone play yet.
Mark Isherwood, Medicine Hat
Strengths: Smart and has good two-way ability. Produces points from the back end. Willing to drop the gloves. Good mobility.
Weaknesses: Another older player, again may be limited upside. Smallish.
Summary: Same story as Nyren, but overall game is more advanced than Nyren's. This is a guy I'd argue strongly for a late pick or camp invite.
Brandon Herrod, Prince Albert
Strengths: Good smarts, competes. Pretty good skater. Surprisingly effective in heavy traffic and against bigger opponents. One of the youngest players in the draft.
Weaknesses: Somewhat smallish. Skating only slightly above average. Not as much improvement this season as I hoped.
Summary: A guy I really liked last season, but just had a hard time noticing this season. Good character guy and worth a very late pick or camp invite. Could still be quite a bit of upside since he's one of the youngest players in this draft crop.
Chase Schaber, Calgary
Strengths: Lots of hidden offensive ability. Competes despite being undersized.
Weaknesses: So-so skater. Smallish and has underachieved so far in his WHL career.
Summary: If you saw him at the U-17 last season, you know this guy has a lot of raw ability and could turn into quite a scorer yet. Kind of got stuck in 3rd/4th line duty on that deep Calgary team, so he could break out if he moves up to the 2nd line next year. Good low-risk, potentially high-reward late pick player.
Dalibor Bortnak, Kamloops
Strengths: Very good size, big frame. Good work ethic. Competes hard and will battle physically.
Weaknesses: No hands. Needs to get much, much stronger to be effective physically.
Summary: I wish I could graft Stepan Novotny's hands onto this guy's body and heart - that would be a real prospect. Bortnak was a scorer back in Slovakia, so there could be some hidden scoring potential here. More of a next year follow than an invite in my mind.
Evan Bloodoff, Kelowna
Strengths: Excellent skater. Competes. Good on the forecheck.
Weaknesses: Limited skill level. Not much of a passing touch. Not going to get much bigger.
Summary: Thought he'd produce a little bit more this year, but he competed physically better than I expected. I think both him and his brother are worthy rookie camp invites.
Cameron Abney, Everett
Strengths: Huge frame. Excellent fighter. Actually pretty decent skater. Can throw some big hits.
Weaknesses: Has trouble contributing to the game with the gloves on. Hasn't shown much ability to do anything but fight yet.
Summary: Never a bad idea to bring a 6-4 guy who can drop the gloves to your rookie camp. At least he'll stir things up.
Tayler Jordan, Portland
Strengths: Another huge frame and tough fighter. Showed some rare intriguing flashes of well-rounded ability.
Weaknessess: Generally has not shown much skill.
Summary: Same as Abney...although I give Jordan the slight nod just on a couple fleeting glimpses of skill I saw this year.
Willie Coetzee, Red Deer
Strengths: Smart and pretty decent skill level. Competes. Not afraid to mix it up with bigger opponents.
Weaknesses: Smallish and probably just a good junior player.
Summary: I think someone will draft this guy, but I'd only offer a camp invite. Don't dislike this player, just other players I'd rather roll the dice on.
Jeremy Boyer, Seattle
Strengths: Good creativity and skill level.
Weaknesses: Can't skate, soft, and smallish. The unfortunate three strikes combination.
Summary: But he is going to be a very good junior player.
Luke Walker, Portland
Strengths: Really competes. Gets the most out of his limited skill level. Improved skating.
Weaknesses: Hands are only okay. Doesn't see the ice real well offensively.
Summary: One of the most improved 2nd-year eligibles in the Dub this year. Not sure he's worth a late pick, but I'd really argue to give this guy a camp invite.
Neil Manning, Vancouver
Strengths: Good puck ability. Good point production from the back end.
Weaknesses: Average skater at best. Smallish. Slow release on his shot. Just not enough jump in his game.
Summary: A very good junior blueliner, but I have a hard time getting excited about his pro possibility. But NHL teams like drafting from winning teams, so there are very likely to be some clubs much higher on Manning than I am.
Tyler Maxwell, Everett
Strengths: Good shooting touch. Smart.
Weaknesses: Very, very small. Not much of a skater. Doesn't really like contact.
Summary: Another three strikes player, but he can shoot the puck pretty well. Should get an invite if not a late pick.
Tyler Halliday, Prince George
Strengths: Good fighter. Has a little bit of skill.
Weaknesses: Only average size for a tough guy. Not much upside.
Summary: Another "if you need/want a fighter" guy in your rookie camp.
Sunday, June 14, 2009
This table will be updated as I add reports.
|1||Brayden Schenn||C-L||22-Aug-91||6-0.0/198||Brandon WHL|
|2||Evander Kane||LW/C-L||02-Aug-91||6-1.25/176||Vancouver WHL|
|3||Jared Cowen||D-L||25-Jan91||6-5.25/220||Spokane WHL|
|4||Carter Ashton||RW-L||01-Apr-91||6-2.5/205||Lethbridge WHL|
|5||Scott Glennie||RW-R||22-Feb-91||6-1.25/177||Brandon WHL|
|6||Landon Ferraro||C-R||08-Aug-91||5-11.25/165||Red Deer WHL|
|7||Dylan Olsen||D-L||03-Jan-91||6-2.25/206||Camrose AJHL|
|8||Cody Eakin||C-L||25-May-91||5-11.25/176||Swift Current WHL|
|9||Ryan Button||D-L||26-Mar-91||6-0.25/185||Prince Albert WHL|
|10||Levko Koper||LW-L||05-Oct-90||6-0.0/180||Spokane WHL|
|11||Curtis McKenzie||RW-L||21-Feb-91||6-1.5/192||Penticton BCHL|
|12||Stefan Elliott||D-R||30-Jan-91||6-0.5/180||Saskatoon WHL|
|13||Linden Vey||RW-R||17-Jul-91||5-11.25/176||Medicine Hat WHL|
|14||Jimmy Bubnick||RW-R||19-Jan-91||6-2.0/194||Kamloops WHL|
|15||Nathan Lieuwen||G-L||08-Aug-91||6-5.0/180||Kootenay WHL|
|16||Tomas Vincour||C/RW-R||19-Nov-90||6-2.0/203||Edmonton WHL|
|17||Byron Froese||C-R||12-Mar-91||5-11.0/191||Everett WHL|
|18||Tyson Barrie||D-R||26-Jul-91||5-10.25/190||Kelowna WHL|
|19||Brayden McNabb||D-L||21-Jan-91||6-3.75/200||Kootenay WHL|
|20||Ryan Howse||LW-L||06-Jul-91||5-10.75/195||Chilliwack WHL|
|21||Brennan Yadlowski||D-R||17-Jun-91||6-0.5/174||Lethbridge WHL|
|22||Justin Dowling||LW-L||01-Oct-90||5-9.5/182||Swift Current WHL|
|23||Mitchell Callahan||RW-R||17-Aug-91||5-11/175||Kelowna WHL|
|24||Spencer Bennett||LW-L||31-Oct-90||6-3/185||Surrey BCHL|
|25||Brett Ponich||D-L||22-Feb-91||6-5.75/204||Portland WHL|
|26||Wes McLeod||D-L||30-Sep-90||6-1/185||Prince George BCHL|
|27||Garrett Mitchell||RW-R||09-Feb-91||5-10.0/180||Regina WHL|
|28||Kris Foucault||LW-L||12-Dec-90||6-0.5/202||Calgary WHL|
|29||Stefan Ulmer||D-R||01-Dec-90||5-9.0/160||Spokane WHL|
|30||Collin Bowman||D-R||13-Jun-91||6-2.25/200||Kelowna WHL|
|31||Cass Mappin||LW-L||19-Dec-90||6-0.0/186||Red Deer WHL|
|32||Stepan Novotny||RW-R||21-Sep-90||6-1.5/190||Kelowna WHL|
|33||Brodie Melnychuck||D-L||13-May-1991||6-3.5/196||Brandon WHL|
|34||Alexandre Peck||G-L||28-Oct-90||6-4/185||Victoria BCHL|
|35||Andrej Kudrna||LW-L||11-May-91||6-2.25/203||Vancouver WHL|
|36||Kellan Tochkin||RW-R||15-Feb-91||5-9.0/176||Everett WHL|
|37||Burke Gallimore||RW-R||08-Jan-91||5-11.5/195||Saskatoon WHL|
|38||Brenden Dillon||D-L||13-Nov-90||6-2.25/202||Seattle WHL|
|39||Sena Acolatse||D/RW-R||28-Nov-90||5-10.75/209||Seattle WHL|
|40||Mark Isherwood||D-R||31-Jan-89||5-11.5/186||Medicine Hat WHL|
|41||Giffen Nyren||D-L||18-Apr-89||6-0.25/185||Kamloops WHL|
|42||Tommi Kivisto||D-L||07-Jun-91||6-1.25/195||Red Deer WHL|
|43||Brandon Herrod||RW-R||11-Sep-91||5-11.5/176||Prince Albert WHL|
|44||Adam Hughesman||LW-L||28-Feb-91||5-10.5/185||Tri-City WHL|
|45||Hayden Rintoul||D-L||02-Feb-91||6-0.0/181||Kootenay WHL|
|46||Chase Schaber||C-L||03-Jan-91||5-10.5/180||Calgary WHL|
|47||Dalibor Bortnak||C-L||17-Feb-91||6-3.5/185||Kamloops WHL|
|48||Cory Kane||LW-L||15-Sep-90||6-3/190||Vernon BCHL|
|49||Evan Bloodoff||LW-L||21-Nov-90||5-11.0/190||Kelowna WHL|
|50||Brandon Kozun||RW-R||08-Mar-90||5-7.75/162||Calgary WHL|
|51||Willie Coetzee||RW-R||07-Nov-90||5-9.5/186||Red Deer WHL|
|52||Tayler Jordan||LW-R||08-Feb-90||6-6/195||Portland WHL|
|53||Cameron Abney||RW-R||23-May-91||6-4/192||Everett WHL|
|54||Jeremy Boyer||C-R||28-Sep-90||5-9.75/153||Seattle WHL|
|55||Luke Walker||RW-R||19-Feb-90||6-0/174||Portland WHL|
|56||Matthew MacKay||C-R||27-Nov-90||5-11/174||Moose Jaw WHL|
|57||Neil Manning||D-L||12-May-91||5-11.0/175||Vancouver WHL|
|58||Tyler Maxwell||C-L||13-Apr-91||5-8.0/174||Everett WHL|
|59||Tyler Halliday||RW-R||11-Mar-89||6-1/184||Prince George WHL|
|nv||Corban Knight||RW-R||10-Sep-90||6-1/180||Okotoks AJHL|
D/RW-R / 5-10.75, 209 / 28-Nov-90
Skating: 45 / Skill: 40 / Sense: 40 / Compete: 40 / Tough: 70
Strengths: Rugged and a very good fighter. Tremendous strength for a 5-11 player.
Weaknesses: No improvement over last three seasons.
Here's a case of a (late birthdate) guy who looks like a decent prospect at 16, but drops because by the time his draft year rolls around, he's the same player he was that first season. It's even arguable he took a step backward this season, but getting shuffled to forward didn't help. Two seasons ago I thought there was a little puck upside, but it just hasn't come through (yet). You have to hope this guy is a late bloomer, but I would question that, given he physically already looks like he's in his mid-20s.
Still draws interest for his toughness and fighting ability. He's one of the toughest guys in the Dub, and that's got to be worth a look for NHL teams, even with the smallish (well, short at least) size.
Summary: Lack of improvement in his game means he's probably a what-you-see player. Don't know if there's any aspect of his game in its current state that suggests a pro player - but for one: that's the fighting ability. Probably wouldn't argue at all for this player unless I completely missed out on getting a fighter in before the last pick.
Draft Day: I don't know if this guy will be on anybody's list, I would think the fighting ability would be worth some interest. But flip a coin on whether he'll go at all.
D-L / 6-2.25, 202 / 13-Nov-90
Skating: 50 / Skill: 35 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 60 / Tough: 50
Strengths: Good upper body strength. Competes. Reasonably solid in his own end.
Weaknesses: Limited overall upside. Not much skill level.
Skating improved quite a bit this season, but still only average skater at best. Not a lot of puck skill. Sometimes shows a good first pass, but it's too frequently erratic.
Best qualities are good size and strength and a consistently high effort level. Uses the body effectively. Usually reliable in the d-zone, but does wander at times. Just isn't physically aggressive enough to draw much interest for me as a prospect - I prefer stay-at-home prospects who have at least some toughness. A supposedly big, rugged blueliner better drop the gloves more than twice in a whole season if you ask me.
Summary: This is a very good junior stay-at-home d-man, but that's all I see. I would argue for a camp invite on this guy, but it wouldn't matter - he's going to get drafted.
Draft Day: I'll be awfully surprised if he lives up to Central's mid-term ranking and goes in the early rounds. He'll slot closer to their Final ranking. Likely be a mid- or late-rounder.
RW-R / 5-11.5, 195 / 08-Jan-91
Skating: 45 / Skill: 50 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 40 / Tough: 30
Strengths: Overall decent skill level. Consistent, if not especially passionate, effort level.
Weaknesses: Very soft. Probably not going to get much bigger.
This guy just didn't do anything worthwhile every time I saw him. There was some good production from this guy this season, so I know there must be some nice puck ability there. But I have to see it with my own eyes, and I just didn't.
Average skater at best. Seemed to be on cruise all the time and didn't do any of the dirty work. Seems to have no physical game at all.
Summary: This is a problem player for me. I just can't get on board with this guy - he was very bland in every viewing I had of him. I acknowledge he's almost certainly going way higher than I have him.
Draft Day: The Combine invite should mean he's no worse than mid-rounder...5th round or so.
LW-L / 6-2.25, 203 / 11-May-91
Skating: 50 / Skill: 60 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 30 / Tough: 35
Strengths: Quick hands and good overall hand skill. Good size.
Weaknesses: Effort level is often pretty low. Is still very much a raw talent.
Deceptive speed and some lateral quickness, but overall skating isn't great. Some pretty good scoring and playmaking ability. Has good vision and a decent passing touch.
Doesn't play with any fire most of the time. Won't go battle in the corners at all. Only physical part of his game is that he will battle for position out in front of the net. Just does not seem to have a passion for the game. Don Hay had to try motivating him by healthy scratching him a few times this season.
Summary: There's some good raw ability here to go with a nice sized frame. But it would be hard for me to spend even a late round pick unless every other player I had any interest in were gone.
Draft Day: He'll probably go late if at all.
RW-R / 5-9.0, 176 / 15-Feb-91
Skating: 40 / Skill: 55 / Sense: 60 / Compete: 35 / Tough: 35
Strengths: Excellent vision and creativity.
Weaknesses: Small, and plays small. Rough skater, especially for his size.
Lots of playmaking ability and real nice passing touch. Tends to be a perimetre player. Skating is not at all what it needs to be for a player this size to become much of a pro prospect.
Summary: This is going to be a outstanding junior player, but the size and skating combination is just too much of a problem. Barely misses being a last round interest for me, but I might advise a camp invite.
Draft Day: Decent enough chance he is a late pick. He'll be a camp invite at worst.
Sunday, June 07, 2009
D-L / 6-3.5, 196 / 13-May-1991
Skating: 35 / Skill: 35 / Sense: 55 / Compete: 60 / Tough: 45
Strengths: Good size. Consistent effort level and good character. Thinks the defensive game well and is reliable down low in his own end. Offensive game showed some progress this season.
Weaknesses: Skating needs improvement. Struggles with the first pass and will not carry the puck at all. Could be more physically aggressive.
Is certainly a guy you need to see a lot to appreciate, but still is a long ways away from being a high end pro prospect. Good strength and he uses it effectively at times. As easy as it is for him to win 1-on-1 battles along the boards, you'd think he'd use that big frame more often. But lacks that little bit of nasty edge you want to see from a stay-at-home guy like this.
Not much puck skill, but has an accurate shot - release is a little slow, however. Pivots alright and doesn't get beat with speed or quickness too often in his own end at this level. But his straight line stride is very lacking and will have to improve for him to succeed against faster competition.
Summary: Has two of the unteachables: size and decent hockey sense. But you have to hope for a lot of improvement in every other aspect of his game over the next two years. Pure projection pick.
Target: Only a late round interest for me. He's a reasonable value in the 6th or 7th, but any earlier than that seems like a reach to me.
G-L / 6-4, 185 / 28-Oct-90
Strengths: Big, long limbed and has good raw quickness.
Weaknesses: A bit raw. Doesn't have great feet and is a bit slow moving around the crease.
Huge frame and has good reactive quickness. Seems to have a pretty good glove, but needs to use it more.
Summary: This guy is one of my sleepers, but there's some risk that I'm manufacturing a player since I only saw him once. But the size and raw athleticism is pretty evident. If I'm at a draft table and it's down to a late round pick, I'd argue for this low-risk, potentially high-reward player.
Draft Day: Was a bit hard for scouts to see this season - so it may be no one got a real good read on him. May not go at all, but could get a late look.
D-R / 5-9.0, 160 / 01-Dec-90
Skating: 65 / Skill: 60 / Sense: 55 / Compete: 55 / Tough: 40
Strengths: Excellent skater and has a good shot. Good skill. Competes.
Weaknesses: Awfully small. Struggles a bit to be effective in his own end.
Very good skater with excellent lateral quickness, and good stop-starts. Really underrated PP skill - moves the puck smartly and quickly and has pretty darn good shot velocity. Okay moving the puck out of his own end but is not really much of a puck rusher.
Thinks the game well at both ends, but his size hurts his physical effectiveness inside his own zone. Doesn't make many bad plays in the d-zone, but really doesn't make a lot of good ones either. I do like his consistent effort level - his head is always in the game and wants to win. Really stepped up after the Cowen injury and was playing his best hockey at the end of the season and in the playoffs.
Summary: You just wish this guy was bigger - even just 6-0 would be fine. Small guys can make good offensive d-men in the NHL, but he's just a slight notch below where you'd want his offensive ability to be for a blueliner this size. Even so, I'd really want to grab this guy with anything after about 160th overall pick. Even if he only ends up running your AHL team's power play or is the occasional taxi squad fill-in, it's not a bad guy to have in any organization.
Draft Day: Probably won't get a look before the 5th in any case, but I think there's enough interest that he'll go.
RW-R / 6-1.5, 190 / 21-Sep-90
Skating: 65 / Skill: 55 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 30 / Tough: 25
Strengths: Some slick offensive ability. Very good skater with speed and shiftyness.
Weaknesses: Does not like to get hit and plays somewhat scared.
There's a lot of raw talent here. Has a lot of speed and lateral quickness. Creative and can make some flashy plays. Has a bit of hot dog in him, so when he gets lots of room, he can make some fancy, dazzling rushes.
The problem is that he needs that wide open room. For the most part, he actively avoids getting hit and does not like traffic at all. There were stretches in the middle of this season, however, where he showed a bit more toughness and willingness to take hits. So there is some hope here. But that seemed to disappear again once the playoffs started.
Summary: I'd rather have a lazy player than a scared one, but every once in a while a player at this age finds some courage. So I'd argue it's worth spending a very late pick on a guy with early round skating and skill level like this.
Draft Day: Might not go at all or is a late round pick.
LW-L / 6-0.0, 186 / 19-Dec-90
Skating: 45 / Skill: 60 / Sense: 55 / Compete: 25 / Tough: 50
Strengths: Quite a bit of natural puck skill.
Weaknesses: Does not compete. Floats and spends a lot of time around the perimetre. Barely average skater.
Despite getting on the scoresheet in most of the games I saw him, did not impress me even once. When I see this much lazy, floaty play, it's hard to not completely write off the player. That said, there's a lot of puck ability here and some good offensive instincts.
I give him credit for a willingness to drop the gloves on occasion. But to be brutally honest, that just seems like phony toughness when you spend most of the game strolling around the ice like it's an old-timer's exhibition game.
Summary: This is a "well, I guess I'd take him at some point" player for me. But I couldn't even argue hard for him in the 7th round. Almost certainly goes much higher than I have him.
Draft Day: Some teams don't mind taking "casual players" somewhat high. Probably because of the old scouting cliche about it being easier to light a fire under a player than transplant a new set of hands on one. So he could still go pretty high, maybe the 3rd round might be a best case.
LW-L / 6-0.5, 202 / 12-Dec-90
Skating: 60 / Skill: 65 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 30 / Tough: 35
Strengths: Terrific goal scorer's hands. Deceptively good speed.
Weaknesses: History of questionable work ethic. One dimensional game.
I've jokingly said this player must have sold his soul to the devil (a la Robert Johnson) at a crossroads outside of Canmore to become this good, this fast. But the truth is he's always had a lot of raw talent and obviously something finally clicked once he got to Calgary.
This guy is a little hard to figure as a prospect - has he finally made the commitment off the ice to be the best player he can be? Are all those highlight-reel goals going to continue or is he just a flash in the pan? He's got good goal scorer's hands and an ability to get to the scoring areas, but almost everything else about his game is underwhelming. Doesn't do much away from the puck. Skating is underrated, however - sneaky fast and has pretty good agility.
Summary: He's arguably got first round hands - his scoring touch is that good. But there's obviously a lot of risk with this guy. This is the kind of guy that if you draft him early and send him to your NHL camp, your head coach might ask why are you sending him this lazy, out of shape teenager. But this guy has such great hands, you have to consider him beginning somewhere around 3rd or 4th round. If you can keep that fire lit under him, you might have a real prospect.
Draft Day: Another wild card. Could go anywhere after the 3rd.
D-R / 6-2.25, 200 / 13-Jun-91
Skating: 30 / Skill: 40 / Sense: 55 / Compete: 50 / Tough: 50
Strengths: Good strength and size. Decent hands. Has shown flashes of solid d-zone play.
Weaknesses: Skating is a serious flaw. Overall game seriously regressed this season.
His draft year was pretty much a disaster. But I still remember the flashes of ability from late in the 07-08 season/playoffs and last summer's tournaments. And at the back of my mind is a little thought about his brother's draft year - which was also disappointing.
Summary: This guy is the speculative penny stock of this draft. Pick him up with a late pick and see if he's a late bloomer like his older brother.
Draft Day: I might think about him beginning in the 5th, but would prefer to spend a cheaper 6th/7th rounder if I think I'm the only one who sees anything in this guy. He's probably fallen off a number of NHL lists completely, but there's going to be a quite a few teams that will still take him somewhere.
D-L / 6-1, 185 / 30-Sep-90
Skating: 60 / Skill: 55 / Sense: 40 / Compete: 50 / Tough: 60
Strengths: Smooth skater, good mobility. Big shot from the point. Can play it rugged.
Weaknesses: Tweener size. Questionable hockey sense. Inconsistent physical play. One-dimensional offensive game.
This guy is a Rorschach player. Seems to be wildly differing opinion on him. Those who like him think he's got a lot of offensive potential. I'm not so sure, but he does have a tremendous shot. The lack of puck handling ability or a good passing touch is what's going to keep him from being a point producer from the back end. The only contribution he really makes on the PP is waiting to be fed the puck for a slap shot. He just can't seem to be able to move the puck inside the zone at all.
Only okay in his own end - gets caught flat footed too much. Tries to be physical at times, but doesn't quite have the size or strength to be a baggage-smasher at the next level. Has a bit of a long fuse too, but I do like that he'll drop the gloves to defend a teammate.
Summary: Just too much a tweener for my like. Not sure I'd argue hard for this guy at any point, but by about the 5th round I could be convinced to take a flier on him.
Draft Day: Who knows...if some of the love for this player I've heard from other scouts is sincere, he could go surprisingly early - maybe 3rd round. Otherwise there could even be a chance he doesn't go at all.
RW-R / 5-11, 175 / 17-Aug-91
Skating: 50 / Skill: 40 / Sense: 40 / Compete: 65 / Tough: 75
Strengths: Excellent fighter. Fearless style and works hard. Just enough skating and skill to be interesting.
Weaknesses: Might not have the frame to play his style at the next level.
Who'd have thought the toughest guy from the Dub in this year's draft would be from Southern California? The rugged style and fighting ability is the big draw here. But has just enough skating and skill to make for an intriguing middle round sleeper.
Great on-ice work ethic. Is strong defensively and a decent penalty killer. Lots of improvement from September to March this season. I think there could be some hidden offensive upside. Even if his best case upside is only a 5-10 goal scorer in the NHL, with the defensive play, physical style, and willingness to drop the gloves, that could be a really valuable guy to have.
Summary: I don't care that he's only 5-11, this guy can play it tough. I'd want to roll the dice on this guy with a late 3rd or a 4th.
Draft Day: Was previously listed as a late-91 birthdate, so he's gone under the radar a bit. But NHL teams have certainly noticed. There's a chance he goes shockingly early (2nd round isn't impossible). Otherwise I think he might be a middle rounder.
Saturday, June 06, 2009
D-L / 6-5.75, 204 / 22-Feb-91
Skating: 55 / Skill: 30 / Sense: 55 / Compete: 50 / Tough: 60
Strengths: Huge, long-limbed frame. Decent skater. Good defensively. Underrated but reluctant fighter.
Weaknesses: Struggles with the first pass. No offensive upside.
At his best in his own end. Long reach and good instincts make him a pretty reliable shut-down guy. Is good in physical battles, but isn't as aggressive physically as you would want him to be.
Struggles with consistency with the puck. Occasionally makes a nice first pass to get the puck out of trouble, but too often he's indecisive and sloppy in moving the puck. Doesn't offer much on the offensive end.
Skating is about average - because of his size it's easy to overrate his skating. Has a long, smooth stride and okay footspeed. But by NHL standards he would be a barely adequate skater - his 2nd/3rd/etc step isn't real good and his pivots are a slightly rough. That said, his skating is more of a plus than a minus - and I don't think it's going to keep him from getting to the next level. Can really throw 'em in a fight - which makes me wonder why he doesn't drop the gloves more often. That and his under-used size makes you wish he didn't have such a long fuse and would get angry more often.
Summary: I've seen too much of this guy, so all the flaws and inconsistency are probably too prominent in my mind. But the more I look at my notes, the more I realize this is a pretty decent mid-round sleeper. I just wish he showed just a little more natural aggressiveness. If I'm in an organization that needs this role (big stay-at-home d-man), you'd have to argue pretty hard for this guy with your 4th...maybe even your 3rd, depending on who else is available.
Draft Day: I'd guess he goes somewhere in the 3rd or 4th. Some whispers around that he could sneak into the 2nd round, but that's iffy to me.
LW/C-L / 5-9.5, 182 / 01-Oct-90
Skating: 60 / Skill: 65 / Sense: 60 / Compete: 45 / Tough: 35
Strengths: Very good hands and is creative. Good offensive instincts. Decent skater with some quickness and elusiveness.
Weaknesses: Small and not physical at all.
Quick hands and I like his playmaking ability. Sees the ice well. Good skater and is a little shifty - but you want smallish guys like this to be pretty elite skaters - and he's not quite there. Thinks the game pretty well. Tends to avoid the heavy traffic, but he's not scared out there.
Summary: Higher on my list than the probable consensus on the hope that slick hands and good hockey smarts can carry him into the pro ranks. Might only be a career AHL player, but enough improvement over the last two seasons make him a worthy mid-round gamble to me.
Draft Day: Another guy that probably wouldn't have even got a look in the NHL Draft a decade ago. I think he'll go lower than I have him (probably 5th-7th rounds), but I'll be surprised if he doesn't go somewhere.
RW-R / 5-10.0, 180 / 09-Feb-91
Skating: 40 / Skill: 25 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 80 / Tough: 70
Strengths: Tremendous competitiveness. Goes to war out on the ice. Loves to drop the gloves.
Weaknesses: No hands - just can't seem to contribute offensively. Skating is a problem.
Let's be honest here - this guy is only a prospect because of his desire to compete - that's it. He doesn't offer much else, but when you go to battle like this guy does, scouts will take notice.
Summary: You just want this guy to succeed so bad - but there's not much hope for improvement in the skill level. If he had any size or skated better, you could make a case for him, but with all the negatives (skill, skating, and size) it's three strikes in my book. I couldn't justify arguing for him before the 4th round at earliest, and I suspect he's gone before then.
Draft Day: Scouts love this guy and my guess is he's going to go surprisingly high on draft day. I'll be surprised if he doesn't go top 100.
Monday, June 01, 2009
LW-L / 6-3, 185 / 31-Oct-90
Skating: 50 / Skill: 60 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 45 / Tough: 40
Strengths: Big body and nice hands near the net. Underrated passing and playmaking.
Weaknesses: Does not use his big size as much as he could. Skating is average at best.
Good combination of size and hands. Excellent shooting touch - and not just near the crease, where most of his shots come from. Gets spot duty at the point on the PP because of his big shot. Shows flashes of some good finesse skill and creativity.
Skating is a bit of a puzzle - has a good long stride, but just seems to be slow-footed overall. Does not do a lot in transition. Most of his game is played down low. Hard to move from the crease, but he is not real physical. Does not initiate much contact and doesn't really battle for the puck along the boards.
Summary: Not sure where the consensus is on this guy - he's soft enough that it could be too much of a concern among NHL scouts. But once you get to the middle rounds there's no way you can ignore a 6-3 guy with this kind of touch around the net.
Draft Day: A real wild card - I have no idea where he'll go. I'd guess he'll be a 4th or 5th rounder, but he could go either direction.
Saturday, May 30, 2009
D-R / 6-0.5, 174 / 17-Jun-91
Skating: 55 / Skill: 45 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 55 / Tough: 60
Strengths: Some two-way ability and showed tremendous improvement during the season. Competes and is surprisingly rugged for his size.
Weaknesses: Smallish for the style he plays.
Just kept getting better as the season went. Earned the confidence of his coach and played a ton of minutes. Good but not great skater. Good agility and quickness, but does struggle to keep up with speedy forwards.
Can carry the puck if he's got room, but otherwise just keeps it simple. Can get a little panicky with the puck in pressure, but usually can make a clean first pass. Surprising physical tenacity despite a small frame. Competes and drops the gloves (9 FMs).
Summary: Size and style combination is hard to project, but I feel like there could be some hidden offensive upside here. Would want to grab this guy with a 4th rounder. A lot of late blooming potential as one of the younger players in the draft.
Draft Day: Could possibly sneak into the 3rd. A 4th feels more likely.
LW-L / 5-10.75, 195 / 06-Jul-91
Skating: 65 / Skill: 60 / Sense: 45 / Compete: 40 / Tough: 35
Strengths: Can shoot the puck from just about anywhere. Good speed and shifty moves off the rush.
Weaknesses: Floats a lot and is one-dimensional. No physical game.
Effort level just wasn't there most nights this season. Still plays the game like it's Bantam - always going for the solo 1-on-1 rushes, not showing any creativity. Is going to have to learn how to do other things with the puck. I think I can count on one hand the number of times I saw him pass the puck.
Pretty much wrote this guy off after about the 5th time I saw him stick to the perimetre the whole game and never pass the puck. But the pure raw scoring ability is still interesting.
Summary: There's probably no point at which I'd argue hard for this player. But once it gets to the 4th round, if he's somehow still available, you'd have to grab anyone who can score 30+ goals in the WHL at 17.
Draft Day: Probably hard for NHL teams to pass up on a 31-goal scorer on a bad team once you approach the 100th overall pick.
RW/LW-L / 6-1.5, 192 / 21-Feb-91
Skating: 55 / Skill: 60 / Sense: 55 / Compete: 65 / Tough: 65
Strengths: Gritty two-way game. Underrated skill. Plays with a lot of fire and likes to throw the body around.
Weaknesses: Skating is so-so at best.
There's so much to like about this player - he can score, he can hit, he drops the gloves, and he shows just enough finesse skill to be really projectable. Scores goals in lots of ways. Has a knack for tips and deflections out front. Doesn't get enough credit for his finesse ability. He can pick the corners on the move or thread some nice passes through traffic.
First step quickness and speed could be better. But has good balance and agility. For the style he plays, I don't think his skating is going to be a problem.
Will go into the dirty areas and compete physically. Plays in all situations and is very responsible defensively. Throws some pretty big open ice hits. Sticks up for his teammates and is pretty good when he drops the gloves.
Summary: I love this guy and don't know why he doesn't get more attention. I may have him way higher than most, but I'd probably start arguing for him with a 2nd round pick. And if I lost that argument and it came back around to the 3rd round and he was still there, I'd flip over the table to get this guy.
Draft Day: I have to believe there's a team or two who see the same things in this guy I do and will take him in the top 75 picks or so.
D-R / 5-10.25, 190 / 26-Jul-91
Skating: 65 / Skill: 65 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 55 / Tough: 35
Strengths: Excellent power play skills. Very good offensive hockey sense. Quick, agile skater.
Weaknesses: Often a downright liability in the d-zone. Lacks the strength to be physical at all. Doesn't quite have the speed to consistently carry the puck end-to-end.
Great offensive instincts and can really run the power play. Terrific at moving the puck inside in the zone. Great ability to sneak in down low. Excellent wrist shot and uses it almost exclusively. But that makes me wonder a bit about his slap shot - it seems like never really uses a good hard full wind up shot.
Very quick feet, very light on his skates. Terrific lateral agility allows him to skate the puck and create shooting lanes for himself. Good spins and turns make him elusive with the puck. Despite the very quick feet, his stride is a bit short, which hurts his top speed. Seems to need a little bit of time and space to carry the puck out of his own end.
Defensive zone play is regrettable and will have to improve. Lack of physical game hurts, but the bigger concern is that he just seems to not care much about what happens in his own zone. Takes so many risks jumping into the offense that he frequently leaves his partner having to deal with an odd man rush. Sometimes just looks mentally lazy and won't battle for pucks in the d-zone.
Can be put off his offensive game if you hit him - that's a serious concern, because you can be sure you're going to get hit at the pro level.
Summary: Looks like a power play specialist to me. I guess I should have him higher, given that I think he'll play. But I'd rather have players with some upside to play in all situations. And the disappearing act after he gets hit is a red flag for me. Almost certain to go much higher than I have him.
Draft Day: Everyone's snarkily predicting he'll go 32nd overall. Or 52nd. But I guarantee you there are more teams than just Tampa Bay who would like this guy somewhere in the 2nd round.
C-R / 5-11.0, 191 / 12-Mar-91
Skating: 45 / Skill: 40 / Sense: 60 / Compete: 70 / Tough: 40
Strengths: Great on-ice work ethic. Very good hockey sense in all zones. Gets the most out his ability. Has been a late bloomer.
Weaknesses: Doesn't have real high end natural talent. Average skater at best. Doesn't have the size to play his style at the next level.
Just works hard all over the ice. Tenacious puck pursuit. Goes into traffic and does battle with the big boys down low. The kind of guy coaches put out in any situation - kills penalties and even plays the point on the PP at times.
Great chemistry on that line with Kellan Tochkin and Tyler Maxwell. Just goes in and digs for the puck and tries to get it to his skilled linemates.
Has some decent first step quickness, but is otherwise an average skater on the whole. Surprising ability to be effective along the boards against much bigger opponents. But is otherwise not very physical at all.
Summary: Coaches love these kind of players - so do NHL scouts, even with the smallish size. I'm not sure I'd spend anything more than a late 3rd rounder on him, but I wouldn't take issue with a team that grabbed him as early as the 2nd. If he dropped the gloves at all or was more physically aggressive, I'd have him higher.
Draft Day: I get the feeling a lot of NHL scouts were hoping to steal this guy with a 4th. But after his performance in Fargo, the cat is out of the bag. Could be a wildcard - mid-2nd is probably the best case for him. I'd be surprised if he lasts much beyond the 85th pick or so.
RW-R / 6-2.0, 194 / 19-Jan-91
Skating: 35 / Skill: 60 / Sense: 45 / Compete: 45 / Tough: 55
Strengths: Shoots the puck very well. Decent size and has the ability to be a force down low and along the boards. Good straight line speed
Weaknesses: A bit heavy footed and has no lateral quickness. Very streaky. Grinding style of last season almost completely disappeared this season.
Even with the increase in offensive output this season (25 goals in 07-08 vs. 9 in 06-07), I think I prefer the Bubnick of last season more. Seemed to do a lot more hanging out in the high slot waiting to be fed the puck this year. Did not go into the corners or battle in the crease nearly as much as he did in his rookie season. And that's going to be his ticket to the next level, if anything.
Skating is what really knocks him down my list, however. Improved his stride a lot this year and has some okay speed now, but still no shiftyness or acceleration. Struggles in transition and up-tempo games, so he needs to keep up the work ethic in the dirty areas.
On the plus side, shoots the puck very well from the high slot on in. And when he's winning puck battles behind the net, he can make some nifty passes out front in tight quarters. Other than that, I'm not sure there's real good hockey sense here. Incredibly streaky - most of the offensive output came in two hot stretches (beginning of season and January) - and was close to invisible for the rest of the time.
Summary: I have a hard time figuring out what he might be at the next level. Even if he returns to doing the heavy board work, I'm not sure he's going to be strong enough to be a corner-mucker. And I don't see how he can be a finesse/dynamic guy either with the skating issues. I probably wouldn't consider until the 3rd round.
Draft Day: I expect him to go higher than I have him, but if NHL staffs agree with me, he could slide a bit on draft day. I can only guess at a very wide range of anywhere from the early 2nd to mid-4th.
D-L / 6-3.75, 200 / 21-Jan-91
Skating: 30 / Skill: 40 / Sense: 65 / Compete: 60 / Tough: 70
Strengths: Excellent size and uses it well. Rugged style and a good fighter. Underrated puck moving ability.
Weaknesses: Skating is seriously flawed. No real offensive upside.
Stock has taken a beating after disastrous showing at U-18 in Fargo. Difficulties in pivoting and backward stride have been exposed against top level competition.
Skating aside, there is a lot to like, however. Has more puck moving ability than he gets credit for. Decent PP ability at the junior level, but projects to be a pure stay-at-home guy at the next level.
Likes to play a physical style. Throws big open-ice hits and effectively uses his big size down low. Especially good at the hip check along the boards. Has a long reach and knows how to use it. Good d-zone positioning and keeps opponents to the outside. Good fighter and very willing to drop the gloves.
Summary: Like Chris Durand's horrible showing in the 2005 Top Prospects Game because of skating issues, you have take account of the fact that he's in serious trouble against good-skating opponents. It's unfortunate, because I really like this guy's toughness and physical style. But you can't spend too high a pick on a player that is going to have to show an awful lot of improvement in skating to even be able to compete at the next level. Might be worth converting to forward once he gets to professional hockey.
Draft Day: Two conflicting things make him a wildcard: 1) the tough Western League players always go higher than you think, vs. 2) a bad performance on the final scouting stage (U-18s) can sink you pretty fast. Could go anywhere between the 2nd and 4th rounds.
RW/C-R / 6-2.0, 203 / 19-Nov-90
Skating: 30 / Skill: 60 / Sense: 50 / Compete: 65 / Tough: 45
Strengths: Nice hands in tight areas. Big frame. Gives a good effort and competes physically.
Weaknesses: Very rough skater. Needs to get a lot stronger. Did not improve much this season.
Has some nice hands and can really stickhandle in tight areas. Good shooting accuracy. Likes to go to the net and isn't afraid to battle for position near the crease.
Short skating stride is a real problem. First step quickness is just not there at all. Takes a long time to stop and re-start. Doesn't turn very well and poor balance. Only plus about his skating is some okay speed once he finally gets going.
I like that he's not afraid to throw the body around, but he just isn't physically effective at all. Lack of strength and poor balance usually means he ends up on the ice even when he's initiating the contact.
Summary: Might have been a victim of high expectations and playing on a bad team. But the skating issues are the real problem. However, if he's still available in the 3rd or 4th, you won't often find this kind of skill level still available in the middle of the draft. And I really like his competitiveness and desire to be physical.
Draft Day: I'll be surprised if he goes before the 3rd. A slide as far down as the 5th will be surprising, but not impossible.
G-L / 6-5.0, 180 / 08-Aug-91
Quickness: 65 / Glove: 65 / Reads: 55 / Technique: 45 / Poise: 55
Strengths: Great combination of huge size and natural quickness. Good feet and really moves around the crease smoothly.
Weaknesses: Concussion history is a major red flag. Needs some technical coaching on squaring to the shooter and not opening up the long side.
Huge and plays big. Especially tough to beat down low, with quick legs and smooth footwork that allows him to go post-to-post quickly. Very good glove and uses it quite a bit. Makes tough saves. Very active with the stick. Size gives him an advantage in seeing over and around traffic.
Has a (hopefully correctable) flaw in his squaring to the shooter that gives away the far side post, especially on the blocker side. Lots of WHL shooters seemed to recognize this and he gave up a fair number of goals that way. I don't think it's a case of him being slow with the blocker/glove on high shots, he just cheats too much to the short side.
Serious concussion he received as a passenger in a roll-over car accident last season cost him almost half of his 16 year old season. More concussion symptoms this season are a big concern.
Summary: The continued concussion issues this season drop him out of top 50 consideration. I'd roll the dice on him somewhere near the early 3rd, though - if he's healthy going forward he's a pretty elite goaltending prospect.
Draft Day: Another wildcard - best guess is somewhere in the 3rd round.
RW-R / 5-11.25, 176 / 17-Jul-91
Skating: 60 / Skill: 55 / Sense: 65 / Compete: 55 / Tough: 40
Strengths: Excellent hockey sense. Always around the puck. Decent skater.
Weaknesses: Soft and doesn't initiate any contact.
Very smart and creative with the puck. Most of his production comes from anticipation and doing the right thing with the puck rather than elite natural hand skill. Passing instincts are top notch. Makes those difficult short passes look easy. Good skater with some ability to carry the puck with speed. Good stop-start and lateral quickness. Just an overall good skater, but not elite.
Very good penalty killer. Uses his stick and smarts to take the puck away from opponents. Good work ethic, but not necessarily high energy - good anticipation allows him to be in the right place without having to skate hard to be there. Does take a hit to make a play, but generally avoids contact and the heavy traffic.
Summary: If this guy had any physical game at all, he'd be one of the best sleepers of the draft. Even so, he's very underrated. Where he's at on my list translates to mid- or late-2nd round, but I have to acknowledge I'd probably have a hard time selling an NHL GM on a somewhat soft, smallish player in that range.
Draft Day: Should be a top 100 pick, but I could see him being perceived as only a "good junior player" and sliding deep into the middle rounds.
LW-L / 6-0.0, 180 / 05-Oct-90
Skating: 75 / Skill: 55 / Sense: 65 / Compete: 45 / Tough: 50
Strengths: Great speed and acceleration. Gets to the scoring areas and can finish. Dangerous on the forecheck and a good penalty killer. At his best when the games count the most.
Weaknesses: Wildly inconsistent effort level. Somewhat limited skill level.
Inconsistency drove me nuts. I could give him either a 75 or 25 on competitiveness, depending upon when we're talking about. Was at his best in May 2008, during Spoke's Memorial Cup run. Was very underwhelming through much of the middle of this past season, before stepping up again in playoffs.
When he's at his best, he's a pesky energy player who is strong defensively and a an elite pass-stealing threat on the forecheck. But for most of his draft year, he looked lazy, floated a lot, and rarely used his blazing speed.
Fantastic skater with a long, powerful stride. Some of the best pure speed and acceleration in the draft. Has a good shooting touch around the net, but isn't a real great passer. Has a knack for sneaking into the backdoor scoring areas near the net when he doesn't have the puck.
Tremendously effective on the PK with that good lateral quickness and ability to anticipate opponent's passes. Isn't a real physical player, but that's fine for the style he plays. I do like the fact that he will drop the gloves on rare occasion - but isn't really much of a fighter.
Summary: The fact that he steps up in the post season makes me want to give this guy a lot of leeway on the questionable effort. And he's got probably the two biggest ingredients for an NHL career - skating and hockey sense. Could be a steal in the 2nd - if I'm around the 40th-50th pick and Button and Eakin are gone, I'd argue for this player.
Draft Day: I think he goes somewhere in the 2nd. Could sneak into the 30s. I'll be totally shocked if he slides as far as Central's ranking indicates (4th-5th round!).
D-R / 6-0.5, 180 / 30-Jan-91
Skating: 50 / Skill: 70 / Sense: 65 / Compete: 45 / Tough: 35
Strengths: Can do a lot of things with the puck. Great transition game and can take the puck end-to-end. Runs the power play smoothly and smartly.
Weaknesses: Soft and lacks the strength to clear the crease. Needs a lot of work on defensive zone play.
Pure offensive ability from the back end will be his ticket to the next level. Terrific offensive instincts and does everything you want a d-man to do with the puck. Makes a great first pass, can take it end to end with speed, and has all the PP ingredients.
Seems fine skating forward and has good speed when rushing the puck, but every other aspect of his skating leaves me scratching my head. Pivots sometimes look awkward and lateral quickness looks lacking in the d-zone. Just not sure what to make of the skating - he seems to have quick, light feet but so many bad things happen to him in his own end that I wonder about it.
Needs a lot of work on d-zone play. Has trouble containing speedy forwards and I see him make a lot of gap mistakes. Gets sloppy with the puck when pressured. Seems to need a little space to get the puck out safely. Almost no physical presence and lacks strength. Will need to be paired with a big stay-at-home at the next level.
Summary: Just don't have a good gut feeling on this player. He's not Mike Green - despite having similar offensive abilities. Green was a physical, aggressive player in his own end and Elliott is pretty meek back there. I think he'll play - but maybe only a PP specialist. I'd consider him around the mid-2nd range just on his PP specialist upside. Pretty sure he's going to go much higher than I have him.
Draft Day: He seems like a consensus first rounder, but who knows. Should be in that 20-35 overall range, but NHL teams might have the same concerns I do, so a slide to the mid-2nd round is possible.